Ngokwefemu yoqikelelo lwehlabathi kunye nohlalutyo lobungakananiOxford Economics, ukunyuka kwamva nje kwesabelo semarike yelizwe laseTshayina kuqhutywa ziinzuzo kumazwe aphuhlileyo, ngenxa yenxalenye yolwandiso lwakutsha nje lorhwebo lwehlabathi.

Nangona kunjalo, ngaphandle kweefowuni zokuqhawula, ukuthunyelwa kwe-China kumazwe aphuhlileyo kwanda ngokukhawuleza kulo nyaka uphelileyo nakwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021.

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Umfanekiso ngoncedo lwe-Oxford Economics

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Umbhali wengxelo uLouis Kuijs, iNtloko yezoQoqosho zaseAsia kwiOxford Economics, wabhala: “Nangona oku kuthetha ukuba ukonyuka kwamva nje kwesabelo saseTshayina sorhwebo lwehlabathi jikelele kuya kubuya umva, umboniso onamandla wokuthengisa kweTshayina kumazwe ahambele phambili uqinisekisa ukuba kuye kwakho imveliso. ukudityaniswa okuncinci ukuza kuthi ga ngoku. "

Uhlalutyo lubonise iinzuzo kumazwe aphuhlileyo ngokuyinxenye zivela kunyuso lwakutsha nje lwemfuno yezinto ezisuka kumazwe angaphandle, eziphenjelelwa lutshintsho lwexeshana ukusuka kusetyenziso lweenkonzo ukuya kusetyenziso lwempahla kunye nokunyuka kwemfuno yokusebenza ukusuka ekhaya.

"Nakweyiphi na imeko, ukusebenza ngamandla kwe-China yokuthumela ngaphandle ukusukela oko kwaqhambuka ubhubhani we-COVID-19 kugxininisa ukuba amakhonkco okubonelela ngehlabathi aphuhliswe kumashumi eminyaka akutshanje - kwaye apho iTshayina idlala indima ephambili - 'zincamathele' kunabaninzi abarhanelwayo," utshilo uKuijs. .

Ingxelo yongeze ukuba amandla okuthumela ngaphandle abonakalisa izinto ezincinci ezidlulayo, egxininisa ukuba "urhulumente oxhasayo naye uncedile."

“Kwimizamo yakhe 'yokukhusela (ilizwe) indima yobonelelo lwehlabathi', urhulumente wase China wathatha amanyathelo ukusuka ekucutheni imirhumo ukuya ekuncedeni ngokwenkqubo yokuhambisa iimpahla emazibuko, ngaloo ndlela eqinisekisa ubukho beemveliso ngexesha apho amakhonkco obonelelo ngelizwe jikelele bendiphantsi koxinzelelo,” utshilo uKuijs.

Ngokutsho kwedatha esemthethweni yaseTshayina evela kwi-General Administration of Customs of China, urhwebo kunye namaqabane ayo amathathu aphezulu orhwebo - uMbutho weZizwe eziMazantsi-mpuma Asia, i-European Union, kunye ne-United States - igcine ukukhula okuvakalayo kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2021, ngokukhula. amazinga emi kwi-27.8%, 26.7% kunye ne-34.6%, ngokulandelanayo.

U-Kuijs uthe: “Njengoko ukuchacha kwehlabathi kukhula kunye nokwakhiwa kwemfuno yehlabathi kunye nokuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe, ezinye zeenguqu zamva nje kwizikhundla zorhwebo ziya kwenziwa.Nangona kunjalo, amandla ahambelanayo okuthunyelwa kwe-China kumazwe angaphandle abonisa ukuba ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, akukho nto ingako yoqhawulo-mtshato olufunwa ngoorhulumente bamazwe aphuhlileyo, nolulindelwe ngabakhi-mkhanyo, lwenzeke”.